Kevork Almassian: Today, Hezbollah struck Israeli military positions...

Today, Hezbollah struck Israeli military positions in the occupied Syrian Golan. Meanwhile, Jolani’s thugs keep hunting Syria’s religious and ethnic minorities, one community at a time. Are people finally noticing or do they need a few more years?

https://x.com/KevorkAlmassian/status/2028934260044816780

#KonfliktModus

Kevork Almassian

03, March #KonfliktModus

Kevork Almassian: Ali Khamenei is dead...

Ali Khamenei is dead and a lot of Americans are suddenly asking: What exactly is the plan for the day after? Because the people who whispered in Trump’s ear — Netanyahu and others — sold him a fantasy: kill the head of the system and Iran collapses like a domino line. But Iran is not Syria. Syria’s state structure was tragically over-personalized, so when the leadership was removed, everything collapsed fast. Iran, for all its flaws, is a nation-state with multiple pillars, broader political participation, elections, competing factions, and institutions that don’t vanish overnight just because one man is gone. And here’s what the war planners never understand: even many Iranians who dislike the Islamic revolutionary approach can still connect the dots and remember the pattern: everywhere the Americans and Israelis intervene, the country ends up worse. So they may not love the system, but they can still see this as a war on the nation, not just “the regime.” Then comes the obvious question: who is the alternative? Because if the answer is Reza Pahlavi, the U.S.-based “prince” who’s never run anything in his life, then you’re not offering Iranians a future. And that’s why this matters: the original U.S. idea wasn’t just decapitation. It was decapitation plus a triggered uprising, so the people “finish the job” for you. The plan — for now — failed.

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Kevork Almassian

03, March #EURechnung, #KonfliktModus

Kevork Almassian: Ursula von der Leyen just posted...

Ursula von der Leyen just posted what might be the most revealing tweet of this escalation: after Iran gets hit by the U.S. and Israel, using regional bases and airspace, she frames Iran’s response as “unjustified attacks” and calls a special EU security meeting. In this segment, I explain why this is a strategic suicide. Because when Europe repeats Washington’s talking points word-for-word, it tells the world the EU is not an independent actor, not a diplomatic pole, not even a serious mediator. It tells the world the EU is just a political echo. And the most insane part? If this war expands and Iran is destabilized, Europe will pay first, not Washington. Because the next refugee wave from Iran would not be heading to the east. It will be heading to Europe.

#EURechnung, #KonfliktModus